Fantasy Football: Week 11 Starts/Sits, Injury Report
Kirk Cousins (vs. DAL): On paper, over the last four weeks, the Cowboys actually have not been that bad against quarterbacks. Ever since Leighton Vander-Esch returned, the Cowboys are actually holding their own against the quarterback position in fantasy. However, there are other injuries on this Cowboys defense to worry about. Demarcus Lawrence and Randy Gregory are questionable for this game. This is the pass rush for the Cowboys. If these guys are out, Cousins should have all day in the pocket against mediocre/below average quarterbacks.
Ben Roethlisberger (@ JAC): The Jaguars are among one of the best matchups in the league for fantasy quarterbacks this season. They allow 29.35 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks over the last four weeks, which equates to roughly 310 passing yards, and two touchdowns. Roethlisberger should have no problem getting close to those numbers this week. It’s worth noting his WRs are also in great spots this week, as well.
Joe Burrow (@ WAS): The Football Team has a very underrated defense, and that is due to their elite defensive line, led by rookie Chase Young. They only allow 170 passing yards per game and less than two touchdowns as well. Burrow is a rookie QB on the road here. Easy fade.
Baker Mayfield (vs. PHI): Another QB in a tough spot in Week 11 is Baker Mayfield. Here’s a stat that may surprise you: Over the last four weeks, the Eagles have not allowed a passing touchdown, and are only allowing 181 passing yards per game. Over the course of the season, the Eagles aren’t much worse, allowing just 211 passing yards per game and just over one touchdown per game. Look elsewhere for your QB this week.
Mike Davis (vs. DET): This is a simple one. With Christian McCaffrey ruled out for Week 11, we can turn to Mike Davis again. Davis gets a matchup against the Lions at home here. The Lions allow 129.50 rushing yards, the most rushing touchdowns per game, second most targets per game to running backs, the most touches per game to RBs, the most total yards, and the most fantasy points per game to running backs over the last four weeks. The Panthers’ are going to likely start PJ Walker in this one, which indicates they will need to lean heavily on the ground attack in this one. Regardless, even if Bridgewater is cleared to play, I would expect a heavy dosage of the ground game for the Panthers.
Kerryon Johnson (@ CAR): D’Andre Swift has been ruled out, and it was Swift who would have been in this spot of the article. Let’s turn to Kerryon Johnson instead. It will likely be a committee, and Adrian Peterson is probably worth a flex play as well, but Carolina is one of the worst teams against the run in the league this year. Carolina is allowing 116.75 rushing yards per game, 4.92 Yards per carry, second most red zone rushing attempts per game, and 20.57 fantasy points per game over the last four weeks. As mentioned, it’s probably going to be a committee for Detroit, but both RBs are in solid spots. Which ever RB is named the starter before the game is the better play, but both are worthy options in a great matchup.
Darrell Henderson (vs. TB): Tampa Bay has been a tough opponent for RBs over the course of the entire season, so it’s no surprise that we are fading Darrell Henderson and the Rams RBs this week. TB allows just 18.19 fantasy points per game, fewest rushing yards allowed, fewest yards per carry allowed, and third fewest touches to RBs overall per game throughout the season. Don’t play any of the Rams RBs this week, just play other guys.
Jonathan Taylor (vs. GB): On paper, Jonathan Taylor is actually in a great spot this week. The Packers allow the third most fantasy points per game to RBs, at 28.40 fantasy points per game. However, let’s dig deeper into this. Green Bay allows the 11th fewest rushing yards per game, which is one of the biggest and most useful stats for determining RB production. Add in the fact that Taylor is in a massive committee and underperformed over the last few weeks, it’s tough to trust him here in this matchup. There’s other RBs to turn to this week.
Marvin Jones (@ CAR): With all of the injuries to the Detroit offense, Marvin Jones is one of the last remaining starters healthy. Swift, Kenny Golladay, and Danny Amendola, have all been ruled out. That leaves Jones and Hall to handle most of the receiver duties in Carolina this week. Carolina is just a middle of the pack defense, but Jones should receive a few extra targets because of the situation.
Mike Williams (vs. NYJ): One of the more inconsistent WRs in the NFL, Mike Williams, draws a fantastic matchup against the Jets this week at home. New York allows the third most fantasy points to receivers per game, fourth most receptions per game, third most touches per game, and most total yards per receivers per game over the last four weeks this season. Keenan Allen has a great matchup as well, but he’s a must start every week, so I figured we would dig deeper here for Williams.
Antonio Brown (@ LAR): Antonio Brown had an impressive showing last week against Carolina, hauling in seven receptions for 69 yards in just his second game of the year, but he is in a much tougher spot this week. The Rams are among the best pass defenses in the NFL, a large part of that is due to shut down CB Jalen Ramsey. However, Ramsey will likely not be on Brown this week, and have his hands full with either Evans or Godwin. Regardless, I’m avoiding Brown here. The Rams allow the third fewest receptions, seventh fewest targets, and fewest fantasy points per game to receivers this year over the last four weeks. There’s just too many mouths to play Brown in a tough matchup.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (@ IND): Over the last four weeks, Indianapolis has allowed the fourth fewest fantasy points per game to receivers, second fewest targets, receptions, total touches and fourth fewest total yards to receivers. I know MVS had a solid game last week, but let’s not forget how inconsistent he really is. Don’t expect another great week.
Tyler Higbee (@ TB): Whether it’s Higbee, or Gerald Everett, the Rams’ tight ends are in a great spot in Week 11. Tampa allows the third most fantasy points to tight ends, seventh most total yards, second most (tied) touches, most red zone targets allowed, and third most overall targets to tight ends over the last month. I know both Higbee and Everett eat into their fantasy production, but whoever is out on the field for the Rams is in a solid spot.
Taysom Hill (vs. ATL) (ESPN, FanDuel Only): Hill is only listed as a tight end on the ESPN, and FanDuel sites. He’s a must play over there in every format. Hill was actually named the Saints starting quarterback this week, but he’s listed as a tight end on those two sites for some reason. Take advantage of the mistake and just get your points at TE and move on. Not much analysis needed with this one. We know how bad the Falcons defense is, as mentioned in previous articles all season. I’d only play Hill at QB if I were in a really tough situation, I’d much prefer Hill at TE. If you don’t play on ESPN or FanDuel, I don’t mind Eric Ebron again this week.
Trey Burton (vs. GB): Another team that uses a tight end by committee is the Indianapolis Colts. Their tight ends have the toughest matchup on the board this week. The Packers are allowing just two receptions, 24.50 total yards, and two touches to tight ends this season over the last month. Add in the fact that it could be any one of Jack Doyle, Burton, or Mo-Alie Cox at TE for the Colts, it’s a must avoid situation for all them this week.
Mike Gesicki (@ DEN): Had to dig a little deeper here to find another tight end to sit. Honestly, tight end as a whole really has so many options to sit, considering the state of the position, but when we have a somewhat solid tight end in a bad matchup, we need to avoid if we can. Gesicki faces the Broncos who have allowed just 7.28 fantasy points per game, 5.75 targets, and five receptions per game over the last month. Gesicki is normally a fine start, but this week he has a few things against him.
Los Angeles Chargers (vs. NYJ): "Mr. Elite" Joe Flacco, coach Adam Gase and the New York Football Jets take on the Chargers in LA. The Jets score just 13.4 total points per game. Is there really any more analysis needed for this one?
Minnesota Vikings (vs. DAL): Andy Dalton is expected to return from his injury here in Week 11, but there have been reports that say he is not 100 percent back to his old self after his COVID diagnosis. Dalton wasn’t that great to begin with, so if he’s going to be limited at all, we have to take advantage of this. Are the Vikings a great defense? No, not anymore. Though, it’s a solid spot for them.
Indianapolis Colts (vs. GB): Aaron Rodgers has had a great season through Week 10 to this point, and we are going to avoid defenses versus the Packers for the foreseeable future. GB scores 30 total points per game, and that’s a spot we need to avoid for our defenses. On top of that, Rodgers has only been sacked the second fewest times in the NFL this year, so it’s a spot to avoid defenses.
Tennessee Titans (@ BAL): One quarterback who has been sacked quite a bit, through ten weeks of the NFL season is Lamar Jackson. This makes sense, with his mobility, there are bound to be some plays where he gets tackled behind the line of scrimmage, as he gets sacked the sixth most in the NFL. However, Baltimore scores the 12th most points per game, at 27.1. We know Jackson always has that home run, big play ability for the Ravens. Look elsewhere if you can.
Dan Bailey (vs. DAL): Dan Bailey revenge game! Bailey faces his former team, the Dallas Cowboys in Week 11. I’m expecting a relatively high scoring contest in this one, but I wouldn’t be surprised if Minnesota stalled a few drives and had to settle for some field goals.
Younghoe Koo (@ NO): We always like kickers who will be in domes, and this week Koo is in New Orleans for a divisional matchup against the Saints. This contest may not be as high scoring as the previous Falcons-Saints games, but there should be plenty of production for the Falcons offense in this one, leading to more Koo fantasy points.
Jake Elliott (@ CLE): On paper, Elliott actually does not have a bad matchup, especially with Myles Garrett not playing for the Browns. However, we can see that the Eagles are playing in winds over 10+ mph and a heavy chance of precipitation. We just like to avoid kickers in bad weather environments, if at all possible.
Matt Gay (@ TB): The Rams can not seem to catch a break with their kicker position this season. This week, they turn to Matt Gay in a tough matchup against the Buccaneers. Honestly, the biggest reason I’m sitting Gay is just because there’s so many other names to turn to that you don’t need to go here.
WEEK 11 INJURY REPORT
Drew Brees (Ribs): Placed on IR.
Teddy Bridgewater (Knee): Not Expected to play.
Sam Darnold (Shoulder): Not expected to play.
Gardner Minshew (Thumb): Not expected to start.
Christian McCaffrey (Shoulder): Ruled Out.
Joe Mixon (Foot): Ruled Out.
D’Andre Swift (Concussion): Ruled Out
DaVante Adams (Ankle): On track to play.
Danny Amendola (Hip): Ruled Out.
Kenny Golladay (Hip): Ruled Out.
N’Keal Harry (Shoulder): Not expected to play.
Allen Lazard (Core): Cleared to return from IR.
Laviska Shenault (Hamstring): Not expected to play.
Sammy Watkins (Hamstring): Questionable.
Jack Doyle (Concussion): Expected to return.
Noah Fant (Ribs): Expected to play.
Irv Smith (Groin): Expected to play.
That’s all for this week. Thank you for taking the time to read this article. Please follow me on Twitter, @JoeyColonna for more fantasy sports related discussion!
(Cover Photo: Kirby Lee/USA Today Sports)